Robust method predicts beginning of new climate in Arctic based on warming, wetting and sea ice loss

When does “anomalous weather” become “a new climate”? The moment that variations in a specific climate variable turn into the new normal is termed Time of Emergence (ToE). Scientists from the University of Groningen and the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) have developed a method to predict the time of emergence in various Arctic regions, based on warming, wetting, and sea ice melting.

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